Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Death,
taxes and the inter-generational minefield
In the good old days – up to c.1979 – death and
taxes in Australia were not merely the twin certainties in life; they were
coupled together in a way which led to a clutch of secondary assumptions about
wealth accumulation, holding (or not), and dispersal/transfer within average
families. State death (and gift) duties
placed a kind of glass ceiling on capital gains, particularly over family homes
and other unproductive real estate (i.e. that was mostly or entirely vacant). Unproductive assets would hence tend not to
spiral up in value because, even if – and in those days it was a big “if” – the
acquirer “won” the game of speculation, there would be an eventual but (for
most) inevitable day of reckoning with both grim-reapers. For the middle-classes, at least, the taxman
would take a heavy cut (although the wealthy could more easily sidestep death
duties).
This situation led to a virtuous circle in and for middle-class
Australia. Productive investments were more
or less neutral for estate-planning (being taxed in both life and death), while
spending one’s surplus wealth in retirement was gently encouraged – and here I
mean actually spending it, as opposed
to locking it up in unproductive real estate, such as renovations. On the other side of the ledger – from the
perspective of the adult children of the retirees – there was a distinct lack
of angst about all this, in a way that today seems almost inconceivable. But in days before real-estate price
inflation became rampant – and a present-day inter-generational minefield, of
which more about soon – it really was this elegantly simple. The younger folk bought their own houses
without reference to, or handouts from, their elders. That they could afford to do this was, in turn, largely due to a thriving real (as
opposed to real-estate) economy – when, once upon a time, retirees actually spent.
Since the 1980s, a countervailing vicious circle
has taken hold. Real-estate inflation
has fed off the peculiarities within capital gains taxes (CGT), first introduced
in 1985, and a national regime very different to the old death duties ones. CGT has always exempted the family home and has,
since 1999, generally been levied at a much lighter rate than income taxes. Speculating (as it was once called, or “investing”
as it is now more usually known) in unproductive or negative-income real estate
has thus become a no-brainer for many. Expensive
home renovations, meanwhile, have become a similarly vacuous quasi-"bank" for both
storing and flaunting wealth – a curious phenomenon that surely no 1950s
futurist could have conceived of. This was a decade when
cutting-edge renovations meant an indoor toilet (fancy!) and a fresh coat of
paint indoors every twenty years or so.
Plus, if you were really serious about keeping up with the Joneses in
the 1950s, there was also a must-have accessory – an Albert Namatjira print
hanging on the lounge-room wall.
“Spending the kids’ inheritance” is usually said in
a tongue-and-cheek way that belies its modern complexities, if not de facto impossibility. This loose phrase would not seem to apply to
money that is or could be got from unlocking the capital in the family home –
if this is seen as “spending” money at all, it is of the serious,
non-discretionary type; viz for entering aged-care, etc. So the family home’s value is largely sacrosanct
from discretionary spending – or properly hoarded, you might say – despite much
of this store of value usually being an intrinsic windfall. Retirees’ surplus spending money will thus mostly
come from other sources – primarily investments. However, because these monies are, on the
whole, lightly taxed, particularly if inside superannuation, there is also a
disincentive to spending them, compared to the good old days of death duties. A
tendency to “bad” hoarding, or miserliness, is thus structurally
encouraged.
While the degree of this will vary with the personality
of each retiree – and so it is very hard to quantify on macro-scale – the
prevalence of this type of hoarding is undoubtedly masked by what I call
pseudo-spending: on renovations to the
family home, and perhaps also, more controversially, on staying on for one’s
twilight years as a single or couple in a large family home (or a modest family
home on a large or otherwise windfall value-increased block of land). The latter scenario involves deep emotional
factors, as well as complex economic rationalities, mainly to do with age-pension
eligibility and aged-care bonds.
But for all this, the matter of retirees’ discretionary
spending in the real economy should not be overlooked. If this spending is perversely
light – which seems to me to be the case – then “the kids’ inheritance” indeed
comes to the fore, precisely because it is
not sufficiently spent. The adult “kids”
(apart from those who work in the tax-advantaged real-estate and renovation
industries) thus have fewer and less well-paid jobs (and pay more than their
fair share of taxes along the way).
Meanwhile, real-estate prices continue to inflate, largely driven by the
tax system.
Here, you may still think that this situation will
sooner or later resolve itself, and happily for all. The kids will eventually get their inheritance
– and the hoardier their parents were, the bigger the kids’ windfall will be, naturally.
But these are largely uncharted inter-generational
waters.
As well as the present Xer-and-younger (born
on/after 1 July 1962, by my calculation) generations being, on average, poorer
than their parents, now and probably also at death, longer life-expectancy is
starting to see inheritances now commonly delivered when the “kids” are in
their seventies (if not, although still rarely, even older). For baby boomers – on average (much) richer
than their Depression-child parents, despite the latter’s frugality – this may
mean that the beach-house upgrade comes, annoyingly, a few years later than
would have been ideal.
For retirement-age Xers-and-younger however, the
timing of the inheritance is of much greater fiscal significance, particularly if
they do not – ahem – yet have
significant real-estate equity. For such seventy-somethings, an inheritance
may well be a case of Too Much, Too Late:
a disruption to receipt of the age-pension (if that even still exists
for seventy-somethings from 2032) until the inheritance is spent on first-home
buying, which real-estate may in turn be occupied for a only brief time before
an aged-care bond comes knocking. That
said, here I may be privileging Xer hardship above baby boomer stresses. With thousands of baby boomers now turning
seventy every week, who am I to minimise the existential dread many must be
feeling at this milestone; still beach-house bridesmaids in Blairgowrie (and
Pittwater), and watching the biological clock ticking on their inheritance-dependent
close-ups in Portsea (and Palm Beach)?
In summary, my message to all those born before 1
July 1962 is: please spend (as baby boomer Colin Stephen puts it, with a visceral spit) your kids’ inheritance. That is, spend it on anything but
real-estate. And especially, don’t financially
“help” your kids to get into a late-stage bubble market in
real-estate – this diverts dollars
away from the real economy, and so the chances are it depresses your kids’
wages and job prospects, if not also their lives in total. No doubt many of you privately like the idea
of your kids as anxious supplicants, whether before or after your death. If nothing else, this is presumably a
psychological pay-off for the vague spectre that haunted your own outwardly-affluent
childhood; that of your (now very-old or deceased) parents’ frugality demons
from their own inter-war childhoods. But
if you must, property-hoard away, boomers – you can renovate your way to property nirvana and tax-less fiscal immortality, but you can’t
hide from the other grim reaper.
- NB: this post was edited and expanded at 1:45pm AEST 30 Nov 2016.
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Haiku
of reflection for home renovators
Once-white, mottled old
shade-cloth mirrored in pool gleams
like polished concrete
- Paul Watson
- Paul Watson